I'm not looking to affix blame here, just help the town prevent it from happening again.
The crash site is a local road that some people like to drive on at excessive speed because they can get some air time on one of the crest vertical curves. In the most recent case, the estimated vehicle speed was 90 mph in a 30 mph zone.
I've designed a new v.c., but I strongly suspect the poor cross slope also contributed to the crashes. If I'm going to try to convince the highway superintendent to spend a sizeable hunk of his budget on truing and leveling HMA, I want to make sure I'm right.
The roadway goes from -4% excessive crown in the sag to dead flat at the crest in about 25 feet. It's -4% again in the next sag.
My hypothesis is the cross slope changes caused the vehicle to roll counterclockwise about its long axis (the right side going up) as it went over the crest, then clockwise as it came back down. The vehicle then went off the road to the right, and, perhaps because the driver overcorrected, went off the left side of the road into a tree.
So, does that sound like a plausible chain of events?