Having selected Carrier centrifugal chillers for a long time (I no longer work with Carrier, though), I can throw some tips on how to avoid surging at an equipment selection stage itself.
If you know that the chiller will run on part loads, ask the manufacturer to select and furnish part load information of the chiller down to 20% or 30% (this will depend on how low the chiller will load down to) at CONSTANT condenser entering water temperature. If the machine is stable at these conditions at Constant condenser entering water temperatures, chances of surging are very slim. The flip side, though is a slightly expensive equipment, due to probably a bigger evaporator and/or condenser, but has the advantage of better power consumption.
One needs to know their load pattern before taking this decision.
HVAC68