I have heard the same argument! Theory is great isn't. We use theories to explain what we don’t have data to measure. If we make a few assumptions one can come to the conclusions that the cable will act in kinds of different ways. The problem is the use of the wrong assumptions!
The problem with the theory of spectrum change is that it doesn't hold much water in large scale studies. When scientists come up with theories that differ the only thing left is to perform statistically significant experiments. And that's what was done at a large utility in the southern US. The 3 year experiment is outlined in following reference.
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The experiment shows that off-line tests are very effective in determining defect sites with out further damaging the cable and that defects in cable insulation (PD sites) do not go rapidly failure regardless at which voltage stress they were observed.
1) 151 cables with failure rate 10/100miles/year
2) Cables tested each year for 3 years (2000- 2004)
3) 151 cable now have failure rate of 12/100miles/year
a) 51% of cables w/no PD sites fail. rate 4/100mi/yr
b) 49% of cable w/PD sites fail. rate 21/100mi/yr
I think the result speak for themselves. What ever the theory is, this method is obviously separating the good from the bad. This same utility has dropped its failure rate, according to their own database, by over 70% after 3 years replacing and repairing cable on the basis of the test results on their 4000miles of underground! Previously their failure was sky-rocketing even with their best 2 failures and you’re out replacement rule!
I would say on the basis of this experiment that the offline PD test is making accurate measurements and that the spectrum or karma or the spirits of the cable are left undisturbed!
According to a database of 2500km of extruded cable including 960 PD site in cable insulation (not accessories) only 3% of defects show up at operating voltage. Why? Extruded cable can not tolerate continuous PD and goes to failure in a very short time. This is the reason one needs to go to higher voltage stresses to find PD sites in cable insulation that have not failed yet!
I hope this clarify things.
Cheers