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Internal Combustion Engine Or Fuel Cell Vehicles? 1

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HydroScope

Mechanical
Jul 23, 2003
72
This question also begins to ask is hydrogen the next fuel/energy carrier of the future? Let us ignore this debate as much we can, although when analysing risks to society from the fuels that run either a FC (fuel cell) or ICE (Internal Combustion engine) then it is impossible to ignore the added risks that might occur due to hydrogen storage and transport.

I would like peoples opinion on the race that seems to be on between FC & ICE for future low emission vehicles. I do not consider a FC vehicle a zero emission vehicle because of the extensive platinum they use. Platinum takes 6 months to refine and yields one ounce from 7-12 tonnes of ore?? What environmental benefit is there. Plus the emissions from the refinery process for over 6 months.


The DOE fuel cell durability target is 5000hrs equiv. to 10 – 15 years driving? Their finds found that hydrogen must have irreversible impurities less than 0.01 ppm to last that long, the market expected to do this latter this decade. With this in mind a Life Cycle Analysis would yield a large impact on the environment I’m sure.

The biggest argument that seems to be relevant over FC Vs ICE is that FC’s are highly efficient. So I question are they?


Above is a link to well known fuel cell page that states the mpg of some fuel cell prototype vehicles that have been built to date. It is relevant to note that the amount of energy in 1Kg of hydrogen = 1 gallon of gasoline on a HHV basis. Making it a convenient way of determining fuel efficiency compared to standard vehicle. You will notice that the best FC mileage vehicles come from the vehicles that only have a FC for power generation and not FC / battery hybrid’s making the regrating braking not worthwhile??. According to this chart the most impressive mileage of any FC only vehicle been built today is the GM’s Zafira mini-van at 80Mpg. This is not a practical vehicle as all FC have a start-up time of 3-4 mins.

It is easy to see that further development of the ICE are now leading towards the diesel engine or HCCI( homogeneous combustion compression ignition engines). Thus I will bring to your attention the latest TDI technology (turbo Diesel Direct Injected Engines) for sale today and near future


From a production car in place now 70-84 Mpg. The Volkswagen lupo.



how far can a diesel technology be pushed, answer 94Mpg for a speedster



what is the performance a TDI technology, compared to other production engine technology? this one won a production class rally, while running on part bio-diesel fuel.



Even Petrol/battery hybrid vehicles lack behind this type of technology, with both 2004 model honda insight and toyota prius showing 60- 65mpg. Where are the diesel electric hybrids? Or is it so that once you have a vehicle of decent mileage, adding weight via electric motor and battery hinders and not helps. I am aware that Fed express and eaton are joining forces to put in place diesel/electric hybrid trucks further applications can be made to garbage trucks etc.


They state they expect a huge 50 percent increase in mileage thus applying this to our 80mpg and 94mpg examples and you get, 160-188mpg. They also expect to put in place better pollution control on engine and get 95% reduction in pollution. A small hatch back with 3 cylinder TDI would not most likely not see the same results due to less energy in lighter weight vehicle when stopping and stopping not as frequent. I have seen Other quotes that an expected 20% rise in economy with diesel/electric vehicles, thus 96mpg-113mpg.

But the point remains that it seems Diesel/electric vehicle would easily exceed 100mpg on a EPA test. While FC “targets” remain at 100mpg, with not one prototype accomplishing it! With millions spent on each prototype, the diesel vehicle it seems would easily get further much further again.


An FC advocate would normal at this point say “FC are a new breed of technology, and the ICE has had over 100 years of advancement behind it, If FC had the same it would be so much better too”. Reminder that William grove invented the fuel cell in 1839. In 1807 Francois Isaac de Rivaz of Switzerland invented an internal combustion engine that used a mixture of hydrogen and oxygen for fuel. Rivaz designed a car for his engine - the first internal combustion powered automobile. However, this was a very unsuccessful vehicle. But for this it seems that both Fc and ICE have been worked on for about the same period of time and funny that hydrogen was actually one of the first fuels for use in a ICE.

This argument that Fc have not had time to develop doesn’t seem correct, as it also suggests that the people working on them do not understand their subject well. Does Ballard hire monkeys? Or do they employ the best material engineering experts with backgrounds in catalyst and polymer engineering research and development? I wonder?

So if the reason for FC development is not towards a vehicle that is leaps and bounds in front of conventional ICE economy, Then it must be because even with there reduced driving range that forces the driver to seek and deviate from original trip for a petrol station more often. They allow the vehicle to be safer on the road, now that toxic fuels such as petrol/diesel don’t need to be tanked around?

By the very name that I have given myself on this forum you can see I am a hydrogen fan!! And I will state that hydrogen is a safer outdoor transport fuel when stored and used correctly (disperses very fast). Which bring me directly to next dilemma facing FC, they are not fuel flexible. Thus this creates current FC vehicles to use high pressure purified hydrogen tanks (5000psi or 10000 psi) or cryogenic tanks of liquid hydrogen to store sufficient amounts of hydrogen for a driving range without the ridiculous weight penalty associated with metal hydride storage. Both high pressure and liquid hydrogen adds more risks to road users compared to driving a car carrying a liquid fuel stored at atmospheric temp and pressure, agree? Ignoring toxicity as there are liquid fuels that are non toxic.

Direct Methanol Fuel Cells (DMFC) which reform there hydrogen from methanol, are being researched with good efforts and results, but are lacking behind conventional PEMFC (polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells) in power to weight ratio. Which is the whole reason for the PEMFC’s promotion towards vehicle applications in the first place as Ballard finally achieved a level where they could be considered to power a car.

So what is the future of hydrogen’s use assuming nobody wants 10 000psi tanks and cryogenic tanks with 1% hydrogen leak per day due to boil off? Either great advancements from physical and chemical adsorption techniques of hydrogen must become cheap (metal hydrides or carbon nanotubes) And/or onboard reformers must be used to minimising the total hydrogen needed to be stored.

Back to Fc vs ICE. The biggest difference I see in the point above is that FC will always need to have 100% of the onboard liquid fuel to be reformed, and as the above discussion shows it will need to be done to better than .01ppm a very costly process that will also add weight to the vehicle. ICE does not have to have all the fuel reformed it can be burnt in the ICE as well and is more likely to be completely burnt when hydrogen addition is used!! My area of interest!!

Thus the final reason contributing to fuel cells is that they are so much more environmentally friendly. If their energy conversion process is so much better why have they not produced prototype vehicles with better mileage than some of the more conventional ICE tech I pointed to earlier. Their weight? Will a FC vehicle that needs an air compressor and electric motor to drive the vehicle, Ever be smaller, lighter than conv ICE doing all those processes in one package.

The answer often given by FC advocates is, “ nanotechnolgy”, FC will benefit greatly, I think so too, but won’t ICE too, and How about cost!! Imagine having a small accident and your nano technology fc gets busted!! Suerly it cannot be fixed by local mechanic!!! Insurance price?? ICE will benifit from more precise injectors that atomise the liquid fuels to standards unseen before. Creation of the ultimate engine materials ( very low or zero heat convected away from the combustion process even when 3000oC are relevant) NO crevices between piston rings and piston top (major sources of unburned hydrocarbons adding further economy). Much lower rotating mass due to lightweight strong materials. No oil blow by/ passage.

Thus in this new technology scenario maybe the carnot cycle will finally show it’s limits and give way to the FC revolution. Carnot cycle efficiency is equal = 1- (T1/T2) where T1 and T2 are the temp of the working fluid’s high temp and low temp.

FC are not bounded by this and instead are bounded by the gibbs free energy law, how much free energy is available for the reaction H(g) + O(g) --> H2O (l). The total chemical energy available is 285.8 KJ/mole. The gibbs free energy available is 237.1 KJ/mole. Thus both the FC and the ICE will find it difficult to obtain the total chemical energy of hydrogen. The LHV of all fuels including hydrogen is generally seen as a representation of the amount of stored chemical energy that a carnot cycle engine if operating at 100% efficiency can obtain. We all know that is it impossible for any energy transfer system to reach 100% efficiency thus when the LHV of hydrogen is quoted at 240KJ / mole. Doesn’t that make the FC and ICE both aiming for approximately the same amount of energy / mole regardless of original fuel source? FC are held back via activation polarisation, ohmic polarisation, concentration polarisation. What does this mean?? FC efficiencies are almost opposite to ICE, It decrease as they approach their total power output,couple that with a electric motor of same trend?? Is that a good thing?? and they are hard to start up.

I think the most relivent point you can say about the fuel cell is that it can achieve its ideal cycle at room temp and pressure, the ICE obviously can not. It’s a shame that its fuel is one difficult to store at room temp and pressure. And operation at room temp and pressure puts added stress on the needed catalyst for the reaction. I can here a bunch of readers right now saying the carnot cycle will never get closer to 100% LHV than a FC could. those that do I ask you to take a closer look at the carnot cycle efficiency equation, and see what is really holding us back. If the working fluid is air then, the immediate restriction comes from T1 because it generally taken as ambient temp and pressure. What about charge cooling, but how? I find it interesting that all lower carbon chain fuels when stored as a liquid on board can be seen as a low temp reservoir (energy needed to liquify fuel can come from renewable source). If it was injected directly into the ICE as a liquid it would cool the incoming air, increasing air density, lowing T1, (the lower t1, the better the efficency and power density) enabling more power, torque, and HIGHER efficiency!! Check out the link below it has been done and was successful, this engine was throttled like all LPG. When coupled with a small amount of hydrogen injection the engine could then become un throtled lean operating like a diesel!! and higher efficiencies again (but from an engine with better power to weight ratio than diesel). It is a shame the emissions from the engine was not included in this report as I suspect this system might be able to avoid NOx emission, as they are related to cylinder high temp’s.


Yes I have contradicted myself now as this shows higher efficiency from a fuel that is not liquid at room temp and pressure. But LPG seems to well accepted as a alternative fuel by many countries and seems to have a good safety record despite that heat from engine getting into LPG fuel line can cause safety fears and problems. Advanced Technology may continue to raise the saftey in this regard.

The point I was trying to make is vast improvements can be made to all engines running on a carnot cycle and although FC’s are not bounded by this, they can not exceed the same amount of energy per /kg as a hydrogen ICE.

I personally don’t agree with the current trend of ICE to deal with pollution problems. That is to allow the engine to produce it and deal try and deal with it in the exhaust, when the engine is an economical one i.e diesel or HCCI engine then NOx reduction requires expensive un-efficient treatment processes!! If hydrogen was coupled with some an alcohol fuel or lower carbon chain fuel that posses 1. low flame temp and/or 2. ability to cool incoming charge. Then I’m sure we could have an engine with no/low hydrocarbon emissions and no/low Nox without after treatment!! I wonder if CO2 is really a concern? How many people breathing world wide??, maybe population control is a better measure, maybe outlawing the manufacture and sale of cigarettes would go further in reducing emissions that eliminating tailpipe emissions. Sorry that was a bit off track I not a smoker.

I wonder if the ultimate goal is to solve our energy conservation and environmental issues is via the highest technology route, or come from aiming for the cheapest route with all variables in mind meet with a sensible comprimise?? And low population, and no smoking!!

. . . .well I’m just a mere student engineer wondering what everones opinions on the future of FC and ICE are. . thanks
 
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Recommended for you

I suggest you visit the Hydrogen and Related FC Engineering forum and read the various threads and posts. [smile]
 
The difficulty in powering transportation vehicles is the need for peek power. Cars, trucks, trains, and water craft all have different power need when being used. I own a F350 Ford pickup with the V-10, some times the truck is loaded some time not. When I need 300+ hp I need it all and more, but when stuck in rush hour traffic empty only a few hp is required. With ICE and FC trends all systems are built for max power and limited braking regeneration. Current designs have poor efficiencies when run under partial or idle loads. is a link to idle fuel usage. A combination of ICE and FC may be the best choice, but my time is being spent designing a system to improve ICE usage. The first project was a linear engine, the problem has became a new drive train system to use multiple IC engines, accumulators to store regenerative braking energy and a hydraulic motor/pump to eliminate any transmission or gear train.
 
Your points are well taken, and one item you hit upon is how much fuel may be stored on a vehicle. Although H2 has a good energy density per unit, each unit requires a significant amount of "space" and storage of H2 is not the easiest thing to manage. Gasoline/petrol is a relatively dense unit of energy, diesel even more so. Both fuels are a hydrocarbon blend and subject to deterioration with age and exposure to oxygen/moisture, as every fuel tank would encounter, and the same with methanol.
As many readers in the engines forum would recognize, I am partially biased to gaseous fuels, LPG in particular. There are LPG fed fuel cells currently in use and in aggressive stages of research. LPG offers many benefits not available with liquid fuels: no deterioration, infinite shelf life, well established fueling infrastructure, inherently safe fuel storage system, and a simple HC blend, and toss in that more than 90% of LPG is domestically produced (this hemisphere, meaning North America, for my personal reference). One of the primary benefits with LPG and fuel cells is the reformer only has the carbon to deal with, not the multitude of other additives and blends.
Although the raw fuel cell output may theoretically reach 80%, in real world practice, it barely exceeds the IC engine in “power to the wheels”. Although no doubt the FC powerplant may well be here for our childrens use in 2025, at one point in our conceivable future, it may be the dominant mobile power source.
There are consumer demanded obstacles which must be overcome, for example, the need to use a 4400 lb auto to drive 2 blocks to the store, the trend to decentralized cities, the resistance to urban mass transportation, and the great American pastime, “out for a Sunday drive”.
Like many of the engine-fuels forum members, I make my living with IC engines, but the introduction of other transportation options excites me. We are seriously considering a hybrid for our next vehicle purchase and wish there were more vehicle options available to us. Lets face it, the Hybrid will be here for quite some time, but on the same track, the FC WILL be here in widespread use within the next quarter century. Now, lets get the price down.
Franz
 
This cynic suggests that fuel cells are a waste of time for cars. Reason is that the on-board storage and infrastructure problems are intractable in the forseeable future, unless reformulators are used for in-situ processing of hydrocarbons, in which case the efficiency falls to that of a decent IC solution. (It actually gets worse than that for various reasons).

However, I will take my cynical hat off, and say that I am pleased that they are being investigated. Although the technology is in itself pretty much a dead end for automotive use, the research that is done into the general concept of efficient vehicles will bleed through to ANY of the cars and trucks we will be driving in the future, so there will be a net benefit in the long run. OK, that's a bit like saying that we should promote alchemy becasue eventually it leads to the study of chemistry, but the fact is that it did.

As Ed and Franz have said or implied, pure FC technology is inappropriate for cars, at best you end up with a FC/electric battery hybrid.

Franz, buy a Prius, and take it apart! You might even get a gain in efficiency if you switch it to LPG. The original engine had a peak efficiency of around 36%, off the top of my head, the Toyota blurb implies that the new one is better. I'd also like to see a study into the gains from going to a fixed speed diesel, turbo, engine. There's an excellent Prius Technical Yahoo group, some of whose members have a good understanding of the strategy used, and have created some handy spreadsheets.



Cheers

Greg Locock
 
Ahh, the Prius. One of the advantages of my position is I am in a close circle of manufacturer reps, one of which is from Toyota. I got to play with a new Prius a couple of months ago, really nice. Now that Ford is licensing the Toyota technology from the Highlander for Fords Escape, that package looks more exciting for me. V-6 performance from an I-4 at 30% fuel reduction.
As much as I like LPG as a motorfuel, it can never equal the efficiency of the gasoline engine, the delta is too great in fuel BTU's. It does have the advantage of clean burning and domestically produced, and it is somewhat cheaper here (not much though, although it is other parts of the world). 36% eff for an SI engine is nothing to sneeze at! Better leave it alone! I would love a diesel Hybrid, the best of all worlds.
Franz
 
I'm not real conversant with fuel cells, but one thing I've always wondered about. . . .

Where do you get the hydrogen? There ain't no hydrogen mines around, and darn few hydrogen wells.

So how to you come up with the stuff? Electrolysis? Where do you get the energy for the electrolysis? From a coal power plant, which is at best 40% efficient?

And so if you have a fuel cell car that's 80% efficient converting hydrogen to hp, it's real efficiency will be 80% (fuel cell) * 80% (? electrolysis) * 90% (efficiency of electric motor that the fuel cell drives) * 40% (coal power plant efficiency) which equals. . . . .23%.

Isn't this really the efficiency of a fuel cell car, as compared to perhaps 30% for a spark ignition engine and 40+% for a diesel? Heck, even a gas turbine has better efficiency than 23%.
 
Are you /sure/ you aren't conversant with them?

That is the dirty little secret of fuel cells.

To counteract this people have started to talk about 'well to wheel' efficiency, where, as you say, a diesel engine (in particular) is at least equal to any of the newer systems.

For a diesel you need to consider the refining efficiency, and distribution.



Cheers

Greg Locock
 
Good observation, since we including the hydrogen "refining" efficiency in the big equation (ie, refining hydrogen from water).

Here's the question -- how much energy does it take to refine diesel? How about gasoline? I've never heard any figures on that.

And as far as distribution costs -- I would have to think that diesel/gas would have a huge advantage compared to the infrastructure required for hydrogen distribution -- in tanks with pressures of 10,000 psi!!

 
That is a really difficult question because the "crude oil" from every well is a bit different from every other "crude" oil. Each refinery was designed and built for a range of crudes, but they still accept product outside that range, at an effeciency cost. On the National Petroleum Refiner's association web page
they talk about a "typical" barrel of crude being 47% gasoline, 15% road-diesel, and the rest other saleable products.

On there is one consultant's estimation of worldwide refining capacity and energy use. The consultant says that the industry is using about twice as much energy as today's technology would require. They're probably right since many refineries are over 50 years old. The ineffecient industry statistics are 3,150 tons/year of crude processed. Fuel consumption is 125 million tons/year.

So assuming that the fuel consumption is in the same ratio as the product production 1,480 million tons of gasoline require a fuel equivilant of 59 million tons or 4%. Deisel would be the same ratio.

David Simpson, PE
MuleShoe Engineering
Please see FAQ731-376 for tips on how to make the best use of Eng-Tips Fora.
 
EdDanzer

great link thanks, I had no idea how much energy was wasted from truck idiling at stops etc.

your quote

A combination of ICE and FC may be the best choice, but my time is being spent designing a system to improve ICE usage. The first project was a linear engine, the problem has became a new drive train system to use multiple IC engines, accumulators to store regenerative braking energy and a hydraulic motor/pump to eliminate any transmission or gear train.

goodluck with your project,sounds complicated, I figure it is towards the larger deisel trucks/locomotives. You have touched on a point I was getting at in my 3 page essay above. An Electric motor may not be the best way to capture "energy of momentum". can you expalin why you are looking at a hydrualic system and not electrical?

I too beleive when the only fault fuel cells have is their cost then would be very benifical combining them with ICE as removing the alternator would yeild better performance of ICE and as you pointed out no need to turn engine on to run auxiliary equipment.

Franzh,

quote

There are LPG fed fuel cells currently in use and in aggressive stages of research. LPG offers many benefits not available with liquid fuels: no deterioration, infinite shelf life, well established fueling infrastructure, inherently safe fuel storage system, and a simple HC blend, and toss in that more than 90% of LPG is domestically produced (this hemisphere, meaning North America, for my personal reference). One of the primary benefits with LPG and fuel cells is the reformer only has the carbon to deal with, not the multitude of other additives and blends.

Who is it that is running fuel cells of LPG? link would be great :O)

LPG domestically produced? how do they do it? is this from hydrocracking longer chain hydrocarbons?

quote

As much as I like LPG as a motorfuel, it can never equal the efficiency of the gasoline engine, the delta is too great in fuel BTU's.

Franzh you obviously did not look at the link I supplied above . .


biggest increase over gasoline injection (same engine even) was 7% at medium loads! 3-4% at all other loads, I was impressed!! for a fan of LPG, I thought you would be the number one advocate for Liquid injection into intake manifold. But I understand the extra saftey procautions need involved hence cost.


ssBlue

quote

Where do you get the hydrogen? There ain't no hydrogen mines around, and darn few hydrogen wells.

steam reforming of hydrogen from nat gas is 90% efficent HHV basis, putting this into hydrogen IC lean operating , no throttle, efficency equal deisel!! store hydrogen in metal hydride recycle heat from engine exhast to remove hydrogen from hydride, at equiv ratio 0.7 you can expect 60% efficency( I though until now that Fc could exceed these results) gain over petrol or nat gas converted engine (same as diesel. thus wheel to wheel efficency increased.(but car range and performance reduced considerably).If electrolysis is used to yeild hydrogen, the idea is to get your electricity from a renewable source, sadly very few elect renewables are cost competitive.

. . . . this arguement could go for every. . this is the what I wanted to avoid . . .please refer to Home > Forums > Materials Engineers > Materials >
Hydrogen and related fuel cell engineering Forum

where I would be happy to continue this discussion but not in this thread. thanks
 
Here is a link to one LPG powered fuel cell I am somewhat involved in.


I agree wholeheartedly that liquid propane injection improves the engine efficiency, but the improvement comes from the evaporative effect of vaporizing propane in the intake manifold, increasing the air density by lowering the temperature. The actual BTU value of propane versus gasoline is approximately 80%. 99% of the vehicles in the world using propane/LPG experience a real world reduction in fuel economy by the same amount, 80%. Ignore the hyperbole of "equivalent gallons", thats marketing.
I agree wholeheartedly that liquid propane injection improves the engine efficiency, but the improvement comes from the evaporative effect of vaporizing propane in the intake manifold, increasing the air density by lowering the temperature. The actual BTU value of propane versus gasoline is approximately 80%. 99% of the vehicles in the world using propane/LPG experience a real world reduction in fuel economy by the same amount, 80%. Ignore the hyperbole of "equivalent gallons", thats the marketing folks spouting off. LPG and gasoline are different fuels that are simply sold in liquid gallon form, hence the confusion. LPG is cleaner, non-toxic, the fuel tanks are safe, and an established fuel network exists.
I don’t want to digress from the content of this thread, it’s excellent in it’s own merits, but I agree, there have been enough solid points raised in this thread to start anew in their appropriate fora.
Franz
 
My position on using hydraulics has to do with what I call energy density. The best example is look at the size and weight of a commercially available drive system good for 70 hp output at 500 rpm. This is wheel rpm at highway speed for a pickup. Electric drives will cost 2 to 4 times a hydraulic drive and weigh 4 to 6 times as much. Now if you add the low speed high torque required for starting on a hill, a transmission will be required for all existing drive train technologies further increasing cost, energy loss and weight. Regenerative braking requires the ability to absorb energy faster than expended for acceleration and the most difficult is the low rpm in city driving. I cannot give out a lot of information on the drive design as I hope to obtain some patent coverage on the unique portions of the design.
 
Ford played with a hydraulic storage system for their "Tonka" truck and hydraulic assist. Rumors had that it provided so much torque on startup that driveline failure was a problem, until the torque was limited. I did hear one run once, and the hydraulic assist sounded like an air starter on a large truck, but it did move smartly! ! !
I had an opportunity to drive a full hydrostatic street sweeper once for contract validation, and all I can say, it takes some training and time to get used to its unique operation. The hydraulic braking gets exciting rather quickly!
Franz
 
To answer HydroScope's original question, the answer is IC engine hybrids rather than "fuelcell vehicles". Fuelcells are a great technology with many uses but transportation is a very poor fit. I wish the companies developing them would stop hyping them so hard- they've got politicians convinced that they're the saviour of the personal automobile, and all they have to do is wait for the great fuelcell-driven technological fix to come down from on high and all our transportation energy problems will go away.

We WILL continue to derive the lion's share of our energy from fossil fuels for the forseeable future, and there's precious little if any net well-to-wheels energy efficiency benefit to FC vehicles if the ultimate fuel source is either natural gas or crude oil, since hydrogen production and storage eats so much of the efficiency gain of the fuelcell powerplant. There'd have to be a significant efficiency benefit to compensate for the enormously larger cost of the fuelcell, fuel storage system AND infrastructure you'd need to fuel it (which would go right into the price of the hydrogen fuel). Remember you need to compare hybrid to hybrid here, since fuelcell stacks aren't inexpensive either, so you'd still need the same reformer and battery or ultracapacitor to damp out the peak loading on the powerplant and to take advantage of regenerative braking.

Furthermore, there's not enough mineable platinum in the earth's crust to make PEM fuelcells feasible as a replacement for IC engine vehicles at current use rates. The more you lower the platinum content, the more fuel purity-sensitive the FC becomes and the less acceptible reformate-source hydrogen becomes as a fuel. Platinum ores are < 1 ppm platinum and refining the ores is not an environmentally benign process either.

I too wonder where the diesel hybrids are. One of the unstated benefits of a true hybrid is the avoidance of rapid acceleration and deceleration of the engine which reduces emissions and increases fuel efficiency- I'm sure that's true for diesels as much as it is for ordinary gasoline IC engines.

If we manage to convert enough of our electrical generation capacity over to renewable sources (or nuclear for those of you who believe in that sort of thing) such that we have excess renewable generation capacity to produce and distribute electrolytic hydrogen, then fuelcell vehicles will have a place. But I can guarantee that we won't manage to do that in 25 years, based on our inability to replace even 5% of our existing generating capacity with renewables in the past 20 years. As the famous television psychologist says, "Past behaviour is the best predictor of future behaviour". In 25 years, I predict that on a worldwide basis we'll be burning more coal to make electricity than we are today- just look at India and China's growth stats if you have any questions on that prediction!

Neither of these options for powering the personal automobile can hold a candle to an electric train, in terms of energy- or emissions-efficiency! The problem is a societal one, not an engineering one. We've got to stop dragging tonnes of metal around with us everywhere we go. Ultimately, there is no technological fix- instead, we need better public transit, better city design with less sprawl, and a culture of energy efficiency. And the only way we'll get there is to TAX FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION and put the revenue into a separate account to fund energy efficiency and public transit initiatives, so these don't have to compete with schools and hospitals.

 
Regarding the lack of hydrogen mines, there is promising zero-emission potential for pulling H2 right out of coal without going through some messy thermal cycle.

Bush's Hydrogen Economy:

The Brits are also working on it:

Sorry I can't find the efficiency projections to compare against gasification from other fossil fuels. But of the fossil fuels, coal is most helpful for our "homeland security" issues. The reserves in Alaska alone are enough to meet all our energy needs for the next 100 years. Coal is what we have so we'd better figure out a good way to use the stuff.

Count me in with the guys wondering, "where are the diesel-electric autos?" GM will be offering a "lite hybrid" on diesels this year, where the engine shuts off at stoplights while accessories (incl. A/C) run on battery power. It's a start.

I also fail to see the feasibility of pure FC autos, unless maybe the 3-wheeled car finally comes into style. We are genetically programmed to enjoy launching 4,000-lb. hunks of steel from 0 to 60 in 5 seconds, so I would bank on H2-powered ICEs, especially since the American manufacturing base is settling on taking our leadership in V6 and V8 architectures into the future global manufacturing scheme.
 
Has anyone here got a breakdown of the contribution of the various technologies in Prius to the fuel consumption?

Here's a list off the top of my head

Engine bsfc (good, but not as efficient as a diesel)

CVT allows the engine to operate at the optimum point for the demand power (good, but efficiency of the electrical load path is not especially high)

Low rolling resistance tyres (not particularly low, due to legal/usability requirements)

Engine only running when needed

Aerodynamics

Regen braking

On the other hand the car is fairly heavy

I have a suspicion that the Insight approach, coupled with a diesel engine, is a better compromise, albeit a much less intriguing toy.

Cheers

Greg Locock
 
After doing some more research, it does not look good for hydrogen in the near future. Start up cost, storage weight and materials may never allow it to compete with hydrocarbon fuel. Fuel cells and diesel engines work best when running at a constant output power. Although I cannot give values for fuel cells, most diesel engine burn 5% more fuel per hp hour at idle. Diesel engines do not do startup and run at full power for 5 minutes and shut of for 5 minutes well. The cost of maintenance can double, and fuel efficiency goes down. Vehicles have a wide range of power usage and this is a tough problem. Most people do not fathom this because it does not appear anyone actually knows. For over a year, I have been looking for a torque/hp graph for any vehicle over a period, including braking energy available for regeneration. It appears that a Honda Insite can only regenerate 8 hp for 3.3 minutes when braking, the Toyota Prius 20 hp for 100 seconds. The real problem is most people brake in far less time with far more power.
If there is a technology for hydrocarbon fuel, it is pyrolysis, turning turkey parts to light crude. Discover magazine has had a couple of articles.
 
Pyrolysis can be used to change solid Hc to liquid, liquids to gases, I assume you are refering to solid to liquids for IC use.

The hardest thing ever ever to do is predict the future even with all our high tech toys and fancy management tools etc, their is still such a wide varity of opinions to which piece of technology will dominate the future, I figure this wide varity of opinions comes from each individual as a understand one piece of technology very well and don't fullly understand the other. I think looking at the past is a resonable way of tring to predict the future, Ed, I think you are on the right track to look for trends in past vehicles.

I agree hydrogen is going to have a tough time being implimented as a fuel if the current trend in vehicles continues, i.e. even though manufactures world wide have come up with more efficient vehicles, their milage has lowered due to a typical trend over 30+ years of consumer buying more powerful engines and expecting more luxury items adding weight and vehicles with more electric demand, once a radio and one speaker was good enough, now 6 stacker CD 4 speaker suround sound, power windows, mirrors, steering, mobile phone kits, even gps systems and computer game consoles for the kids in the back are starting to become common. i am not having a winge but any alterative fuel that has low density does not fit into this senerio, i have not even meationed the move towards 4wd trains adding weight.

We really need to see a trend in vehicle weights to go down and not up for hydrogen to be implemented widely in vehicles. Along with hydrogen absorption technology to step up.

As for all the comments towards where are all the diesel electric hybrids I think the answer lies with what Ed had to say


"For over a year, I have been looking for a torque/hp graph for any vehicle over a period, including braking energy available for regeneration. It appears that a Honda Insite can only regenerate 8 hp for 3.3 minutes when braking, the Toyota Prius 20 hp for 100 seconds. The real problem is most people brake in far less time with far more power."

A lot of weight needs to be added just to regain a small amount of energy, diesels due to thier lean operation at low loads are reasonable economical compared to the petrol engine thus hybrids high efficiency at low loads losses it's benifits. you end up in a situation where you are adding weight to the vehicle to save very little fuel, that even at $40 Us a barrel is not really saving anyone much money or the environment when considering the energy and extra mining for the 6000 (ford website quote) or so extra compentents needed for a CVT.

Hydrogen use for IC start-up only, reductant in NOx trap, is highly benifical, also as an additive to diesel additive. And hydrogen through a fuel cell as a APU on any vehicle would be extremely useful.
 
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