KM
Mechanical
- Mar 27, 2000
- 64
The general topic of my question is flow control equipment at dams. I'm trying to get a hang of what various dam safety documents call "risk informed decision making." I see acronyms like PFMA (Potential Failure Mode Analysis) and FMEA (Failure Mode Effect Analysis) tossed around.
I get the general concept: It's the identification if a number of failure modes for a particular piece of machinery, the assignment of probability (P) to these failure modes, determining the degree of damage each one would cause (D), and then multiply P x D to get R which is the risk of each of the i failure modes.
It's the application of the concept that is getting me. It seems to range from either a very global overview of things that one could do on a table napkin to such gory, gory, detail it would be worthy of a PhD thesis.
So I'm trying to write a SOW for getting some dam gates inspected by a Consultant for various deficiencies. I want to try and prioritize on a bang-for-buck basis a number of improvements to them, and this "risk informed decision making" approach sounds like it might be the way to go....but:
If it involves the table-napkin level of risk analysis, I can do it myself.
If it involves the PhD level of risk analysis, I can't afford it.
How do I describe a Goldilocks-level failure mode analysis? (not too hot, not too cold, but "just right")
I get the general concept: It's the identification if a number of failure modes for a particular piece of machinery, the assignment of probability (P) to these failure modes, determining the degree of damage each one would cause (D), and then multiply P x D to get R which is the risk of each of the i failure modes.
It's the application of the concept that is getting me. It seems to range from either a very global overview of things that one could do on a table napkin to such gory, gory, detail it would be worthy of a PhD thesis.
So I'm trying to write a SOW for getting some dam gates inspected by a Consultant for various deficiencies. I want to try and prioritize on a bang-for-buck basis a number of improvements to them, and this "risk informed decision making" approach sounds like it might be the way to go....but:
If it involves the table-napkin level of risk analysis, I can do it myself.
If it involves the PhD level of risk analysis, I can't afford it.
How do I describe a Goldilocks-level failure mode analysis? (not too hot, not too cold, but "just right")