I've just prepared a report for an insurance company regarding a frost heave problem... Movement of the SOG, the interior spread footing and the exterior strip footing varied from a few inches to approximately 9" to 10". The contractor had removed 1 and 1/2 courses of masonry pier 12", but at the time of my review, movement was only 10". All the concrete foundation walls had cracked ranging from 0.15mm to 40mm (I've got a graduated pocket 'microscope' that I use for the finer cracks). Excellent source of water, coldest winter in 13 years, with the coldest period of a few days occurring when the foundation was unprotected, and the general soil is clay... this one had a silt seam..., the only one for miles, it would seem...
If a 1/2" bar can be pounded down in the vicinity of the footing without encountering a void (possible to miss it) then it can likely be constructed on the same footprint. Local geotekkies have a bar and heavy pipe with handles and an endcap to drive the rod (seems to work OK in clays). Because of the extreme movement of the foundation that I did the report on, my recommendation was to use a different location (some other place on site that had adequate frost cover) or to found the new footings on soil below the depth of penetration (and hope there wasn't a more pervious seam to keep from pumping the lake)
CarlB:
My earlier querie regarding supercooled water in clays was in reference to this project.