Hi. I have been doing nuclear criticality safety for over 30 years and occasionally check this forum. I am not, at this point, upset or appalled, but we need to clear some things up before this thread goes any further. Specifically, it is inappropriate, i.e., it can be misleading or confusing to the point of causing an accidental nuclear criticality, to define any specific numeric value of delta keffective as the "criticality safety margin" at a given nuclear site or for a given transport package, and then rely upon that delta to provide adequate safety. As a specific example, it is not prudent to state that the safety margin for spent nuclear fuel is 5% because keffective may not exceed 0.95 and leave the matter at that.
I scarcely know where to begin to explain this conundrum further, because I don't know the extent of the audience or what they have in mind. However to be very brief, I will begin by agreeing in spirit with other posters on this topic: requiring that there be a delta keffective is a valid part of an entire scheme of criticality safety, just as a house needs a foundation, but a foundation alone is uninhabitable. I also fully acknowledge that regulatory bodies require that the license or other Authorization Basis documents specify either a specific minimum value of delta keffective or specify the methodology by which it can be derived. In other words, these documents promise that no calculated value of any credible assembly (e.g., interacting array) of fissile material will exceed the value X, which is 1.0 minus this delta, insofar as validated neutronics calculations can determine. Again, this is equivalent to stating that if the foundation of a house is level, square, and sound, a liveable house can be built upon it.
To reiterate, an assembly of fissile material may be unsafe at a keffective of 0.90 or completely safe at a keffective exceeding 0.98. There is no magic number, no single safety margin, and no simple answer, although I agree that regulatory bodies have to start somewhere, and in the case of spent nuclear fuel, they are currently using 0.95. I plan to alert my colleagues nationwide to the existence of this discussion thread so that they may monitor it and add to or subtract from my remarks.