Jguer005,
Sources
The Commonwealth Fund study is not out-of-line with other studies. Furthermore, as cost appears to be your biggest issues, those numbers were not calculated by The Commonwealth Fund (listed in the study).
Meanwhile, you didn’t even bother linking your sources. No matter, I went to the trouble of trying to find them. Seems like your numbers came from the same paragraph in “Universal Healthcare’s Dirty Little Secrets” by Michael Tanner and Michael Cannon, of the CATO Institute! My favourite source for credible, unbiased, non-ideological driven information!
Regardless, it matters little. Let’s return to the matter at hand.
Wait Times
As you popped into this conversation about 450 replies in, I’m guessing you didn’t read my post highlighting the facts of wait times:
rconnor said:
% of Responses stating they could see a doctor the same/next day – Canada 41% (worst amongst OECD), US 43% (second worst), Sweden 59%, Germany 74% (best) (
source)
Wait time for emergency case was 2 hours or more – Canada 48% (worst, 11th), US 28% (7th), UK 16% (2nd best) New Zealand 14% (best) (
source)
% of people that did not get adequate care due to costs (fill prescription, visit doctor, get test, etc.) – US 37% (worst), Netherlands 22% (2nd worst), Canada 13%, UK 4% (best) (
Source)
Number of annual deaths due to lack of insurance in the US – (2005 estimate, working age only) 44,789 (estimate according to this
2009 Harvard study)
2011 Health Expenditures/Capita – US $8,508 (worst, 11th), Canada $4,522 (6th), UK $3,405 (2nd) New Zealand $3,182 (best) (Source)
The difference in wait times is not huge, nor is the US the best. There appears to be little value for spending 2x more per capita. The only major area of difference is the wait times to see specialists for elective surgeries. As Beej67 has been arguing (as he's doing a better job arguing for universal healthcare than anything else), the availability of all these specialists comes with a cost/benefit ratio that appears slanted towards the cost side.
Also, see moltenmetal’s excellent post on the subject:
moltenmetal said:
Wait times for essential procedures and emergency care are quite modest [in Canada] unless you live in a remote location. Most of the people waiting 2hrs or more for "emergency care" here aren't in need of emergency care- they are taking advantage of the free access to the emergency room we get here 24/7, either deliberately or as a precaution (for a sick child etc.). They're having their needs triaged against those of others who truly do need emergency care. When someone dies in an emergency room here because they were inappropriately triaged, it is a HUGE deal and national news- it happened to a First Nations man in Winnipeg recently and there was a hue and cry from sea to sea about it. Deaths while waiting for care here are truly rare.
What you fail to mention (besides linking your source) is that the stats you list for the UK are for
elective surgeries. As molten describes, waits can be long for non-essential aspects but overall timely, available access to healthcare in universal healthcare is on-par with the US (some are better, some are worse). You have one system that cancels 50,000 elective operations per year and another that lets 45,000 die due to lack of insurance. Still not buying that boat ticket?
Regarding the heart surgery wait times in Sweden, it again ignores the fact that cardiovascular surgery, along with all types of surgery, are tiered based on risk. Long wait times do not necessarily equate to more deaths. A
study by Queen Elizabeth II Health Center concluded “prolonged waiting was not associated with worse surgical outcomes”.
Another study, found that 0.48% of patients scheduled for heart surgery died while waiting for heart surgery. Certainly anything higher than 0% is non-ideal but the number does not indicate a severe issue and there is no indication that this number is sufficiently higher than the US, especially if you factor in the number of patients that died because they were not adequately covered for heart surgery. While these are Canadian studies, it does highlight that, for the most part, the prioritizing of surgery is done well for the most part.
Improvements to the system are needed and universal healthcare is not perfect. However, A 2009 Nanos Research poll found that 86.2% of Canadians support “public solutions to make our public health care stronger”. A 2008 Strategic Counsel survey found 91% of Canadians preferred their healthcare system over the US system. In addition, a 2003 Gallup Poll found only 25% of Americans were ‘very” or “somewhat” satisfied with “the availability of affordable healthcare in the nation”, compared to 50% in the UK and 57% in Canada.
CBO Estimate
What? The number of uninsured people in the US is still going to be high. How does that possibly support your point? That’s an argument FOR universal healthcare and re-emphasizes that the ACA is not universal healthcare, so it supports MY point. You, like beej67, are doing a better job arguing for universal healthcare than against it. What do you think that number would be in a “free-market” system? Greater than zero?
”It may be cheaper up front, but what are you really paying after all the taxes and fees levied by the gov't?
…% of GDP is not the “up-front cost”. It’s the cost. And the US has the highest in the western world (by a long shot).
What is Canada really paying for healthcare? 11.2% of its GDP or $4,522 per capita
What is the UK really paying for healthcare? 9.4% of its GDP or $3,405 per capita
What is the US really paying for healthcare? 17.7% of its GDP or $8,508 per capita
Another interesting figure regarding the quality of healthcare in universal systems (with those "apathetic" doctors not giving you the care you need just to save money) versus the US:
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