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Locked in a Tail spin? A positive view on the future of engineering. 11

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sms

Mechanical
May 10, 2001
787
In many of the recent threads there has been a generally negative attitude toward engineering, and a generally negative view on the future of engineering. In the thread titled would you recommend engineering to a high school graduate I wrote:

“Maybe I am just lucky, but the negative attitude toward engineering in this thread and several of the others just amazes and confounds me. Engineering has been very very good to me, I have never been without a job, and in fact I typically get one or two offers a year to move to another company. I make excellent money, on par with or beyond the sales people, MBA's, and even some of the lawyers I know. I have been at it 20 years split between three companies, and I have never regretted it for a minute. I have done interesting work that has taken me all over the world. I have also had the opportunity to work with some of the best minds in the world. And I graduated with mediocre grades from a little known cow college in southern New Mexico, not MIT.

Being an engineer kept my grandfather employed through the depression and kept his 8 kids fed and clothed. As an engineer my Dad was able to raise our family in a very comfortable middle class setting, and it has supplied him with a very comfortable retirement.”

As a result of this post I was challenged to present a positive view on engineering in the next five years. So here we go!

Will there be job loss, consolidation, layoffs, and other uncomfortable aspects of the engineering profession in the next 5 years? In the next 10 to 20 years? There is no doubt in my mind there will be. But I don’t think there is any job category or industry that will escape this. This is also nothing new, as the economy and the political realities of the world shift so does every other aspect of culture. If you were a steel worker in Pennsylvania, or an IT professional over the last 20 years you know this. But is it realistic to make blanket statements like “the profession of engineering is in a tail spin”? I don’t think so. Will outsourcing to India or China change the kind of work available for engineers, and the salary structure of engineers in the first world. Yes surely, but that also leaves some tremendous opportunities for engineers living in the US, and Europe. Instead of dealing with the mundane tasks associated with most engineering projects, this labor pool allows engineers with leveraging skill sets to tackle the most interesting and challenging problems. As a result salaries for engineers with those skills will increase, as their differential value becomes increasingly apparent. This will be accelerated by the mass exodus of baby boomers from the labor pool over the next 5 to 20 years. There is a lot of experience leaving the engineering profession for retirement, and at least in the US, the number of students interested in taking on the rigors of an engineering education appears to be shrinking.

But, if your skill set does not differentiate you from the engineer living in Bangalore making 5 dollars an hour, then as the engineering labor pool becomes more and more global then your salary will indeed push toward the 5 dollar and hour level. And if you are not willing to move, then you are at the mercy of what drives your local economy.

I’m sorry, but it is hard for me to have much empathy for the guy that whines about being been laid off because the local coal mine in Soggy Bottom West Virgina closed down, but he’s not willing to move elsewhere to get work. Go do a search on engineering at Monster.com, and you’ll see that there are good paying engineering jobs of all kinds all over the USA, but if you are not willing to relocate, then your choices are going to be very limited. I live in Houston Texas. I was raised in New Mexico. I would love to be living in New Mexico, but I live in Houston because right now if you are a mechanical engineer Houston is the center of the United States. I even know ME’s that have turned down relocations from Houston to elsewhere, for the very reason that they know the opportunities are greater for ME’s in this area. But this aspect of career management is only going to get more global as well. I have recently interviewed for positions in Australia, Singapore, and China, and the companies involved were more than willing to pay the relocation costs, and a competitive salary. That will very likely become more common, but again only if you have skills that are in demand.

So if you are willing to invest in your skills well beyond what was learned in college, if you are willing to relocate, even to the extent of relocating globally, and if you are willing to keep a positive attitude, engineering has in my opinion a huge potential for providing a satisfying, rewarding, and financially acceptable career. But you guys with the negative attitudes, have all ready limited your potential.


 
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SMS thanks for the perspective. In the other thread I was just throwing some thoughts out. It is good to see that there are people with a positive perspective. The reality is far closer then to what I have known in my mind and not the theoretical "the sky is falling." It is with out any doubt in my mind going to be important to continue to sharpen my skill set at every opportunity. Right now I am in the process of making the jump to a technical college in my area. Not quite MIT though i wish that was an option :). Instead I am looking at wentworth institute of technology. I am looking at the part time engineering programs and will go the hybrid route of study part time while working full time. I do feel that this "balance" between leaning and practice will only be able to further sharpen my skills and once I have the B.S. degree i wont just be someone with theory but actual hands on experience. The other thing I have to deal with is within the big picture where to specialize. I know again here i have a few different areas of interests. I like design so I may be able to temper the engineering with enough creativity to go the industrial design route. I like cars alot so I could go the persuit of automotive in the end of high performance and engine components, I also like the chances to address larger issues. One of the biggest there is fuel technologies and alternative to gas powered engines. These typically are the things I think about in terms of the larger spheres that I am looking at. So along those lines i know i need to shape my academic learning and experience to be suited to one of those areas.
 
There may be a lot of engineering graduates that never work in engineering. It once was that people got BA and BS degrees to demonstrate to the world that they were intelligent, trainable and could finish what they started ( a rigerous 4+ year college course).
I would advise advise engineering students that a BS in an engineering discipline does indeed prove their smarter than the average bear.
\The world has changed however and they may not spend their working careers designing circuits, bridges, engines etc. Engineers have always went to school to do one thing and then did it. The majority of people who have and are going to college don't know what they will be doing when they greaduate.
If engineers develope the right social and interpersonal skills they can do almost anything. Smart people with good analytical skills will aways be in demand. If you check on engineers not working in engineering you'll find they are making more money that engineer engineers.
 
SMS,
I don't think that any more stars fit above. The number that you've gotten today is a pretty good indication that the sky is really not falling, it is simply re-aligning itself.

If an engineer in the US, Canada, or GB finds himself in direct competition with a $5/hour engineer somewhere else then he needs to seriously consider the sandbox he's playing in. If a person wants to punch a time clock and never miss a fishing trip or a kid's play then they should really look for a 9-5 profession (banker comes to mind). If they're willing to put in the effort to stay at the top of their profession (often at the price of sleep and family committments) then the world looks pretty damn rosy.

By the way, an ME can make a pretty good living in New Mexico.

David Simpson, PE
MuleShoe Engineering
Please see FAQ731-376 for tips on how to make the best use of Eng-Tips Fora.

The Plural of "anecdote" is not "data"
 
Hello All!

And of course, hello sms!

I have no reason to doubt sms, that your own outlook for the next 4-5 years (and beyond) is very good indeed. But then again, you are not "a recent high school graduate" which was the focus of the previous thread. On the contrary, you are an engineer with 20 years experience in a field which is obviously in high demand.

In addition, you have given a lot of thought to the essential qualities that will be vital to success in the future. To quote from your opening post:

"So if you are willing to invest in your skills well beyond what was learned in college, if you are willing to relocate, even to the extent of relocating globally, and if you are willing to keep a positive attitude..."

I put "skills well beyond what was learned in college" in bold because that sums up why I still wouldn't recommend engineering to a recent high school graduate. Four year from now, most engineering grads will ONLY know "what was learned in college" and I don't think that will be enough to differentiate them from:

"the engineer living in Bangalore making 5 dollars an hour..."

Even if they are (like you) willing to relocate, will they have skills that make them desirable to international companies? More desirable than the Bangalore engineer? (Maybe the Bangalore engineer would be willing to relocate as well, and for a lot less to boot.)

But in any event, I'm glad you started this thread. Perhaps it will generate some ideas that help engineers who have been displaced due to off-shoring.

Have a good night everyone!
 
sms;
Even after 20 years of working in the engineering field, I have no complaints and enjoy my work. I understand and share your enthusiasm!
 
I'm happy for engineers who have had good careers so far. I'm one of them, and we are many. As I've said before, my criticism of the status quo in the engineering profession is NOT due to personal dissatisfaction with my career choice. Engineering perfectly suits my interests and aptitudes. The longest I've ever personally been unemployed is two weeks. And though I wouldn't say no to a 20% raise, I'm relatively happy with current level of compensation.

I also know that my personal experience is merely an anecdote- I do not attempt to generalize this narrow, personal experience to the profession as a whole. I have a lot going for me: I was born here, I have excellent written and spoken communication skills, I was educated at one of the best universities in my country, I got excellent co-op work experience along the way, and graduated within the top 5% of my class. I built on that with thirteen years of excellent and varied work experience with significant international exposure. I have a large network of friends and colleagues in industry. I live basically dead centre in the highest industrial and commercial density in my nation. My positive work experience is not an indicator of the general health of our profession- in fact, if I have ANY trouble finding a job which suits my skills and experience, it's a signal of utter disaster within my profession.

BJC: If we really think that an engineering education is not training for a profession but rather a sort of technological "liberal arts" education, then let's be honest with our students LONG BEFORE they graduate. I too know engineers who have left the profession for better opportunities and more money in other professions, but I've also met lots of engineers who have left the profession because of a lack of adequate opportunity within it. I know far more engineers who are real estate agents or computer programmers or taxi drivers or who are eeking out an uncertain living moving from contract to contract than I do engineers who are patent lawyers or medical researchers. I wouldn't recommend the cost and difficulty of an engineering education to anyone if they weren't afforded a reasonable opportunity of finding suitable engineering employment when they graduate. In fact, it's wasteful for society to train more engineers than we need- we don't do it with doctors, lawyers, optometrists, veternarians... and I'm sure if you threw the admissions process wide open, you'd get LOTS of people interested in receiving THAT sort of professional education too!

The immigrant engineers I know who drive taxis to keep a roof over their heads- those people are mere anecdotes too- you cannot generalize from the experience of a few individuals. What I trust to represent the average situation are the overall NUMBERS. And the numbers here in Canada are absolutely staggering. Engineering supply has increased three-fold in a decade in which economic and jobs growth has been less than 20%. In that same period, the high tech industry balooned, then collapsed, and has been slow to recover. Immigration of engineers has increased twelve-fold, and over fifty percent of these engineers settle in a single city which represents less than 20% of Canada's jobs. Increasing export of both manufactured/ engineered goods AND engineering services from the developing world is likely to at very least moderate jobs growth in our profession going forward. Does that sound like a profession in demand, or one in crisis?

Do I advocate closing the borders and the engineering schools? NO. That's plainly idiotic. We need succession planning in our profession just like in any other, and there will always be opportunity for the best and brightest in any job market or supply situation. What I do advocate is the provision of unbiased, region- and discipline-specific, accurate and up-to-date labour market information for prospective immigrants and students to our profession so they can make informed choices. That would be far better than the hype, half-truths and misinformation they're currently getting from various organizations and media, some of whom have obvious interests in increasing the supply in our profession.
 
“So if you are willing to invest in your skills well beyond what was learned in college, if you are willing to relocate, even to the extent of relocating globally, and if you are willing to keep a positive attitude, engineering has in my opinion a huge potential for providing a satisfying, rewarding, and financially acceptable career. But you guys with the negative attitudes, have all ready limited your potential.”

You know it is refreshing to see some optimism on this board. There has been so much negativity about engineering that it started to bring me down. I do believe that mechanicals that are in the field of solving problems by doing analysis are doing better than mechanicals just doing pure designs (as in somebody else doing the analysis work for you). Any body can design, but you need somebody with a higher caliber of training to do the analysis to make it work and pass qualification. I my self have been striving to improve my skills especially in analysis. When I first started I was designing electronic packages for military equipment and have our analysis group do the analysis and work the unforeseen bugs out of the design (such as vib and heat transfer problems). What I noticed that there were many of us designers but few of the analysis people. When a job came down the pike, the managers had blocks of people to do the job, but when it came down to analysis to make sure that there designs will pass military qualifications, the managers were fighting over analysis people (because there were a few of them). That is when I realized that I have to improve my analysis skills in order to be more sought after. A few years ago I bought Dave Steinberg’s books “Vibration Analysis for Electronic Equipment” and “Cooling Techniques for Electronic Equipment” and learned how to do the analysis. Over the years when I started to deal with the analysis group, I would do the first level of analysis of my design so I can gab with them on topics that designers don’t usually dwell on. This made me stand out because I can design and do my own analyses work. When it cam to finding new work, I was snatched up by another defense company right away with a nice raise. Now I work with many designers and do the analyses work for them. Now I am among the few and sought after.

I do have to admit that in today’s economy that we are the exception and not the rule among mechanicals. Here is an excerpt from the department of labor on their guess for the future of mechanical engineering:

(“Employment of mechanical engineers is projected to grow more slowly than the average for all occupations though 2012.”



Go Mechanical Engineering
Tobalcane
 
Well some good news, in Design News (07/19/04):

(“For 2004 alone, Lockheed plans to hire 14,000 recent college graduates, while Boeing is offering annual salaries of $55,000 to $60,000 to entry-level engineers with a Bachelor's of Science degree—significantly higher than the $47,300 shown in our survey (see "More Experience, Higher Pay" chart on page 76). On average, aerospace companies also pay engineers more—$80,200 per year—compared to $75,999 or less made annually by 56 percent of our survey respondents.”

Entry level salery is $55k to $60k for a fresh out of college kid is pretty good!

Go Defense!

Go Mechanical Engineering
Tobalcane
 
Here is a interesting link to engineering salary info. You can only get broad summaries without paying for their reports, but the salaries reported for mechanical engineers at least, seem pretty good to me.

As I said, my grades coming out of college were not great, actually a 2.8 on a 4.0 scale, and I did not graduate from a famous school. I received my BSME from New Mexico State University. A fine school, but not famous. So without the grades what led my first employer to hire me? I had co-op experience, which helped a bunch, I had worked during my schooling as a teachers assistant, grading papers and tutoring under classmen, and I had held every leadership position available in the ASME student section at my college, including president. I had also participated in ASME national events including the Summer Annual Meeting, and the Student Leaders conference, as well as regional student conferences. I had also taken and passed the fundamentals of engineering exam. All of that at least got some interest in my resume, beyond to initial reaction to my grades.

My point is that even fresh grads can do some things to differentiate themselves.
 
Its always great to hear that someone is doing well in engineering and yes there are a few opportunities for people to get on. But dont get caught in a dream world. Not everyone can be Mr A One, not everyone will find a 'GOOD' company to be with. What's in it for those that have to traul whats left. At the end of the day I believe engineering is a great way of testing the mind and pushing the limits, but whether the accountant that runs my company agrees or not is another issue.
 
tobalcane

Any way to find out how many of the 14,00 will be replacing engineers and designers who are "obselete", have to much vested in a pension plan or who represent potential liabilities to their health care plan?
 
SMS, you have some really good insights on things. I have been thinking as far as the next stage of my school alot and definately I am thinking it probably is wise to get involved in a society chapter on campus. Starting to feel the best way to deal with the rigors of it all is to balance work, classroom, and also extra-curicular aspects of life in order to become as well rounded as possible and help to be shaped better. I can say right now i really like my work alot. I enjoy what I am doing and also am thankful to be learning as I go. That is one of the biggest things. As engineers, as students, as people we can never stop learning. I really feel that there is always something new to learn. It is by the aquisition of knowledge through its application as demonstrated wisdom that a person grows. In general I feel this can apply to engineerign as much as any other part of life.
 
BJC,

Well the way I see it is there are two ways to bring in that many new people into a company. One is to lay off a lot of people and then replace them with the new hires or have new contracts with the government and other countries and hire new people to work the contract. I did not see any news in the past that these companies did any massive lay offs (well after the cold war) and since we are in a less stable world right now that I can see that the defense companies can get more business because of the uncertainty. It is also a plus that we have a republican in the white house that is pro defense even before the war (things that make you go hmmm). So in my opinion the 14K new hires are the additions to staff at these companies. Just like any industries, global situations will drive the economy. For defense companies, it just happens to be war.



Go Mechanical Engineering
Tobalcane
 
It is worth remembering that even the very best engineer
who will sleep in a ditch and work 20 hrs a day anywhere
he is called and is the smartest and most well educated and
most loyall and most creative and most dedicated and
just overall the best of the class will still face
increasing competition from the unemployed masses who see
the light and become like him for gainfull employment.

By the way how do we differentiate ourselves from an
engineer in Bangalore making $5.00 per hour. I am sure they
are very qualified and willing to as far as the next guy.
 
<<By the way how do we differentiate ourselves from an
engineer in Bangalore making $5.00 per hour. >>

We offer insights to our culture and customers that foreigners can't begin to understand. Engineers need to think more like marketers at times to make ourselves more valuable. We buy products here and know what we want, we also know our customers. Use that knowledge to give the extra value to the project to make it more desireable to keep the engineering in North America. To design a washing machine for example, it helps to actually use one.

Also network in your own company and make allies with the sales department. If they think the product will be better by using American engineers, then they will champion your cause. The most important thing is to know what advantages you have over the competition. If you can't prove your case, then there isn't any reason for the company not to use outsourcing.

Mike Bensema
 
Bravo sms!

I tried to give you another star even though I knew five was the limit.

Someone once again mentioned engineers loosing work to overseas engineering; A long time ago, I proposed a survey for a show of hands of all those engineers that lost work overseas. Only one person claimed to have lost an engineering job to overseas sourcing, but it had little to do with direct engineering, it was a supply issue.

While we report on many articles that claim that engineering jobs are going overseas, I have yet to hear from an engineer that lost their job as a direct engineering outsource.

I still say it's irresponsible to discourace future graduates from entering or studying engineering. Simply irresponsible.
 
Tobalcane,

How does a (mechanical) "engineer" "Design" without doing Analysis?
 
pmkPE,
Most designers will design to a company or military design spec. The spec has already specified what chassis, circuit card assembly lay out, epoxies, thermal scheme, connectors, plating material…etc to use in the design. You can say that part of the analysis has already been done. It is just a matter of putting the design together per application per spec. But, when the design is done, it has to be reviewed by the analysis group. We will take the design and do (for the mechanical side) an in depth shock, vibration, and thermal analysis and rework the design till we think it will pass qualification. Most of the time, because the spec is really robust for design, that rework is minimal.



Go Mechanical Engineering
Tobalcane
 
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