Correct but you still haven't addressed the points I raised in my original post to your analysis.
We have a total head in the pipe connection at the tank of 2.459m.
Head at the tank connection is not created by the pump but by the static liquid height in the tank. Total head of the flowing fluid at the tank connection point is the static height of liquid in the tank plus the vlocity head of the fluid as it enters the tank.
If total head in the tank is less, we know we can get water in the pipe into the tank.
Water will flow into the tank as long as the static liquid head of the tank is less than the pump no-flow dead head pressure period.
So we need to know what the head in the tank is at the nozzle connection point. It might help to think of a double swing door at the tank entry point. We can open the door by just pushing on it, or by running at it and slaming into it, so we will try to do both at the same time. The Pressure Head will push the door and the velocity head will do the slamming. Note that this is potential energy of pressure and kinetic energy from the velocity. Added together we have 2.459 m of energy to open the door into the tank. But the tank may have some energy keeping it closed. What has the tank got?
There is no imbalance of forces at the tank connection between the tank side and the pumps side as the pressure on the pump/pipe side is developed by the pressure on the tank side (which is simply the static pressure due to height of liquid in the tank). The pump output total pressure minus the friction drop will always equal the tank static pressure at the connection plus the kinetic energy of the flowing fluid into the tank. (Static pressures in tank and pipe are equal but pipe flow has additional flowing kinetic energy).
The tank has potential energy from any fluid inside it. Does it have kinetic energy? No. The velocity of fluid in a tank is 0. No kinetic energy. So, the tank only has fluid level to hold that door closed. We have 2.459m, so iif the tank has less than 2.459 m of water in it (above the height of the nozzle), we're getting in, at least with some of our water.
Again there is no discontinuity of pressure between pipe side and tank side as the pressure at the tank connection is due to the static height of the liquid in the tank. The flowrate will balance in any case so that the static head output of the pump minus the friction loss equals the static height of liquid at the tank connection. The pump output head is not constant but is determined by the intersection of the system curve with the pump curve.
If the water level in the tank is below our nozzle door, we get in with full flow. Whatever our pressure and velocity heads combined will push into it. That's (V^2)/(2g) and we have both Pressure and Velocity to play with. The total of 2.459m
If the water level is below door then pressure at the tank connection will then be 0 psig so you are operating the pump on a different part of the pump curve at a different output head such that the pump output static head minus friction loss now = 0 psig, but with a difference in head of the fluid equal to the velocity head of the fluid entering the tank.
Let's solve for Velocity. 2.459m = V^2/2/g
So,
V = sqrt(2.459m * 2 * 9.81m/s2)
V=6.98 m/s
We're going to blow the door off it's hinges, at least when we start.
Pressure head plus velocity head (total head) in the pipe does not convert to all velocity head in the tank. Pressure head in pipe at pipe exist cannot convert into anything because it is in equillibrium with the static head in the tank so there is no extra pressure head available to convert to any additional velocity.
Since we are outside the pipe, the cross-sectional area of the flow depends of the "jet stream" shape. Our inside pipe flow rate of 0.0246 m3/s continues into the tank, but now at a velocity of 6.98 m/s.
So we recalculate the cross-sectional area of Flow to be (from V= Q/A), A = Q/V
A = 0.0246 m3/s / 7m/s = 0.00351 m2
A jet stream can never decrease in diameter when it exits the pipe. For water jet in water it will increase due to slowing down by the fluid in the tank and at the same time some of the fluid in the tank being caught up in the jet causing it to expand. For water in air (like a fire hose nozzle) the jet will maintain its jet diameter longer since there is nothing causing it to slow down and any air picked up into the stream is of little consequence.