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The wheels are falling off the Net Zero Bandwagon 2025 edition 1

GregLocock

Automotive
Apr 10, 2001
23,672
Rather a good summary from Dr Sabine. She is a true believer in climate change, but seems rather more astute than your average doom and gloomer. She seems to think that a certain president implementing what his voters want to happen is somehow poor behavior.


Here'a funny video when she looks at the climate models.


My prediction from a few years back (which I thought was optimistic) was that the wheels would fall off in 2027, as that is when poor old Australia's reliable generators can no longer supply sufficient base-load due to plant closures. As it happens state governments have started subsidising coal plants to stay open. While also subsidising the renewables that make the coal plants uneconomic. And subsidising the resulting high bills to consumers. Good thing every garden has a money tree growing in it.
 
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Greg -

Those two videos are excellent. Especially the 2nd one. I actually really like the way this Sabine lady talks about global warming. Though I her accent is so reminiscent of Greta Thunberg's that I keep expecting her to shout how "how dare you!".
 
Wheels falling off Western Australia's net Zero plans.


The reason investment in new windmills is dropping off a cliff is sovereign risk, mostly, although I hope perhaps somebody somewhere is also working out what a 95% intermittent renewables based solution looks like and realises how silly it is. WA's grid is completely islanded, when the sun doesn't shine and the wind doesn't blow then it's time to burn dinosaurs.
 
Oh dear, looks like plan B is coal as it is in China.

One of Australia’s biggest coal power stations in Victoria’s Latrobe Valley is set to stay open for four more years amid fears of devastating electricity shortages, in an extraordinary U-turn for the state Labor government’s renewable energy-only blueprint.
A decision to keep coal in the power system for longer underscores Australia’s volatile transition from fossil fuels to green power, even as federal Energy Minister Chris Bowen insisted a move to double the amount of renewable energy by the end of the decade remained on track.

The Australian can reveal owners EnergyAustralia, along with the Victorian government and the power grid operator, have held talks about delaying the mid-2028 closure of Yallourn. Instead, it could remain running into the next decade to dodge a power shortfall, although no decision on the length of an extension has yet been made.

Jim Chalmers on Tuesday refused to make an election promise that power prices would be “stable” under a second term of the Albanese government. The potential to prolong the use of coal may test the will of the Albanese government as it moves to fast-track the shift to renewables and clean energy.

The Yallourn station supplies 22 per cent of Victoria’s electricity and 8 per cent of the national market, and employs 500 workers.
 
In which Sabine takes a baseball bat to an attribution study for the LA wildfires, someone claims she misread the report, she takes the video down for a week, has another look, and comes back with baseball bat with nails sticking out and hob nailed boots. Sic 'em, Rex.

I have great sympathy for this, having spent far too many hours taking apart silly scare the teenager articles posted here.
 

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