Thanks you very much gents. Looks like there is significant confusion about arc flash out there and some more room for separating myths from the reality, although I’m obviously not an expect for arc flash studies and making comments based on common sense and general electrical knowledge only.
For this particular questions though, the NFPA 70E does actually mention that a different method should be used for open switchyards, called heat flux rate, but I overlooked that one before asking the question. And it refers to the same method you described. Actually, I don’t look into NFPA 70E directly, but rather to the Canadian version of it called CSA Z462, but I understand it is more or less copy/paste.
Speaking of other arc flash fuzziness, here is one example. The IEEE method seems to be based on the assumption that no enclosure provides any protection against arc exposures unless it is an arc resistant design. This is still a reasonable assumption for most enclosures which are subject to faults in the range of hundreds or at least tens of MVA, even though some enclosure do actually provide a degree of protection and may not necessarily explode at lower fault powers. But since that level of protection is not quantifiable in any way, and is different for each enclosure, looks like the assumption has to be it is zero for all non-arc resistant rated boxes.
However, what happens if inside an enclosure the fault level is very low, say less then 1MVA, but clearing time is infinite? The standard says that if clearing time is infinite, consider 2 seconds when calculating incident energy. 2 sec being enough time for somebody standing next to the panel to somehow realize that something is going on and move away from the line of fire.
And here is an example for the above case from real life. On a solar installation with a total installed DC capacity of about 700kW and with a bipolar collector having positive and negative arrays of 600V each (1200V total), and given non-linear characteristics of PV panels, we came up with what appear to be a reasonable estimate that in case of a short circuit on main DC bus (across 1200V), it may result in an arc of 900Amp. With the assumtion that arc voltage will still be high, say over 900V, that is fault power of < 1MW. But as the fault current is barely higher then nominal, the DC breakers which connect individual combiner boxes to the main DC bus will not trip for 2 sec (actually they will never trip, but only first 2 sec of fault durations is used for calculations).
So, as the clearing (or get away) time in this case is very long, the calculated incident energy is still high and requires high level of PPE.
But is a fault of 1MVA and 2 sec really equally danger and one occuring say at the same voltage but 20kA, being 20MVA, and lasting only 0.1 sec? The same amount of energy but released in 20 times shorter period.
The latter case is a very good candidate to instantly blow off the enclosure door and those standing around might be exposed. But in case of former, will the current of only 1kA produce such sudden pressure raise that the enclosure will also explode, just with a delay after 2 sec? Or it is much more likely that, since energy is being released rather slowly, that everything will burn inside the panel before the enclosure explodes or it deforms in such a way that door opens, which would probably take minutes, not mili seconds?