moltenmetal said:
If you believe that only 5% of your healthcare system's cost is in the form of profit, there's no point in talking about this further.
If one of us refuses to acknowledge hard evidence, then yes, there is indeed no point in talking about this, or anything, further. The only way to reach logical consensus is to start with an agreement about the data, and then apply logic to that data. That goes for
any discussion, of anything.
The data is out in the open. Google it. Insurance companies profit margins are around 5%, and have stayed that way, for a very long time. Insurance of all kinds is not a high margin business. They set their expectations of costs in a shared pool based on risk projections and apply a small markup. That's how insurance works. That's why it's as hard to become an actuary as it is to become an engineer. Very smart people project that risk, apply the small markup, and the insurance company moves on. That's the business model.
irstuff said:
Profit margins are mythical...
I don't even know what to say. Do you work? Are you, in fact, an engineer, that works for an engineering firm, that does engineering, for, you know, profit? Are your firm's profits "mythical?" Can you let me know who you work for, so I don't apply for a job there?
irstuff said:
For-profit company executives are not graded on just profit margin, but increased absolute profit, which requires increased absolute revenue. This is what their bonuses are based upon.
Noooo. Insurance is the very
opposite of what you describe. If Insurance was raking a percentage of claims paid, then you'd be correct, but that's not at all what insurance is. Insurance gets paid up front, in premiums, and then strives to maximize profit by paying as few claims as possible. Every claim paid is lost profit. They have more incentive than anyone to not pay claims. In fact, my biggest gripe about insurance in general is that they are so stingy with paying claims.
irstuff said:
The graph shows that our health system's performance is quite pathetic, so I'm not sure why anyone would even imagine that the current system can be "fixed."
That's what I'm getting at. Especially with such a ridiculously simple solution as "keep everything the same and bill Medicare," which is exactly what "single payer" is. If "single payer" alone would fix this, then doctors who worked purely off Medicare would be offering services at a third of the rates that private doctors are.
irstuff said:
It looks like we're actually spending more than 3x what we should be spending to get the results that we have. Given that the government insurance plans cover less than 1/5th of the US population, with the remainder being either covered with private insurance or none at all, what possible reason is there for maintaining that the current system is even plausible?
There's none. There's also no possible reason to think that shifting the population entirely to the payment method already used by 20% of us would reduce costs by a factor of 3. The source of the money is a red herring. To fix it, we need to look at the actual problem.
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