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You Can’t Buy That Diesel Truck 12

Oops409

Mechanical
Apr 25, 2024
193
WSJ said:
California’s EV rules are already restricting sales of gas-powered rigs.

WSJ said:
This news came in a public comment filed by the National Automobile Dealers Association with the Environmental Protection Agency regarding California’s Advanced Clean Fleets rule. The regulation says “zero-emission” trucks must be a growing share of semi-truck fleet sales. California imposes a similar mandate for passenger cars.Trouble is, truckers aren’t buying electric big rigs because they can’t afford them even with $40,000 in federal tax credits. Electric trucks cost twice as much as diesel-powered rigs and have a limited driving range—150 miles on average, compared to between 1,000 and 1,500 for diesel trucks. There are also few truck charging stations.

Yet under California’s rules, “dealers are restricted from selling a diesel truck unless they sell a ZEV truck,” the dealer group reports. The result: “New class 8 truck sales (ZEV and Diesel) were down 50 percent year-over-year in June 2024.” Truckers are driving older engines longer because they can’t buy newer diesel models, which results in more pollution.


If only a Systems Engineering Team was in charge of implementation, EV's and infrastructure could be incrementally inserted with out crashing and burning. Result of current mandates is higher polluting clunkers remain on road longer vs cleaner and more efficient new diesel models. Current mandate totally skip the intermediate steps like hybrids which offer a transitional path that does not crash the economy and supply chain and create more inflation.
 
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China accounted for 95% of the world’s new coal power construction activity in 2023, according to the latest annual report from Global Energy Monitor (GEM).

Construction began on 70 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity in China, up four-fold since 2019, says GEM’s annual report on the global coal power industry.



In line with our estimates in Coal 2023, global coal demand reached a new record of 8.70 billion tonnes (Bt) in 2023, surpassing the previous year’s record by 2.6%. Once again, global coal consumption was led by Asia where more than 80% of coal consumption took place. Conversely, Europe and the United States saw significant declines in coal consumption in 2023.

China, the world’s largest producer, importer, and consumer of coal, was recorded with growth in both power (8%) and non-power (2.5%) use of coal. After severe energy shortages and overall weak economic performance in 2022, electricity demand in China rebounded in 2023 growing by 7%. Despite accelerating deployment of wind and solar, most of this growth was met by coal-fired power generation due to low availability of hydroelectric plants, as coal is the main source of flexibility. Together with moderate growth in metallurgical (met) coal consumption and almost flat demand for non-power uses of thermal coal, China’s coal consumption increased by 276 Mt, reaching a total of 4 883 Mt in 2023. The overall energy consumption growth rate of coal was slightly lower due to a quality deterioration following a leap in the domestic production of coal.


 
"Trains are still running engines at EPA Tier 0 ratings. They are the only industry that has not been required to do upgrade anything. Rail is quite likely the dirtiest form or transportation today. I joke about air freight taking over from truck in CA because CA has no jurisdiction over laws with regards to aircraft."

A lot of the trains in Europe and Asia are electric and are high speed... the fastest is about 430km/hr. The US should get up to speed on this.

As far as aircraft go, I can see 'the rest of the world' banning fossil fuel engines in the not too distant future. The US would have to get up to speed or stay home. It will be interesting to see what happens. I'm just waiting for a few more hurricanes to see if there is an increase in numbers or intensity.
 
"China accounted for 95% of the world’s new coal power construction activity in 2023"

"Clean energy generated a record-high 44% of China’s electricity in May 2024, pushing coal’s share down to a record low of 53%, despite continued growth in demand.

The new analysis for Carbon Brief, based on official figures and other data that only became available last week, reveals the true scale of the drop in coal’s share of the mix.

Coal lost seven percentage points compared with May 2023, when it accounted for 60% of generation in China."

It could be Greg, but they are cutting back drastically. They have serious air pollution problems. A few years back the citizens had to wear face masks, and these are disappearing. Keep up with current fossil stuff... Pretty soon they will be at US levels.

 
Yes as their old plants reach EOL the new plants are cleaner. This is good and is the way the rest of the world should go.
 
Yup... China is about half the per capita as the US is. Their output is more, but they have 5x the population.

Canada is high because of our small population, cold climate and long travel distances. Most of our electricity is by hydro, else it would be even higher.
 

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